Sen. Bill Cassidy appears poised to acquit

Okay folks. Up until now, I've tried hard not to speculate on how many Republican senators were planning to convict. But with the defence's arguments done and dusted, the speculation feels a little more solid. It's time for Republican watch.

Here are some things we know for sure:

17 of the 50 Republican senators would need to vote with all 50 democrats to reach the two-thirds majority necessary for conviction
There are no reports to suggest that enough Republicans will flip to convict Trump and therefore ban him from holding office again. However, there are lots of reports that a few might. The exact number and profile of those who flip will be read as a test of the party's overall loyalty to Trump.
Six Republican senators joined Democrats in voting "yes" on a constitutionality at the start of this trial, which was widely read as a sign they'd be open to convicting Trump
One of those Senators, Bill Cassidy, was spotted holding what appears to be a statement of acquittal

Senators Lisa Murkowski, Susan Collins and Mitt Romney, three of the six who voted 'yes' on constitutionality, have been reportedly very absorbed by the presentation, taking notes and telling reporters they see merits in both sides. They've all raised substantive questions in this section of the trial.
Another key Republican to watch is Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. The highest-ranking Republican official was among the first to blame Trump for the violence on January 6. He voted "no" on constitutionality, but has privately directed his caucus to vote their "conscience". McConnell has been quiet this week, attentive during arguments and nearly emotionless. He previously told reporters he wanted to hear both sides of the argument before he decided how to vote, a sharp turn from his comments during Trump's first trial.

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